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008120802s2012 dcud ob i000 0 eng d
019 ▼a 812997591 ▼a 823730105 ▼a 903698810
020 ▼a 9781475555639 ▼q (electronic bk.)
020 ▼a 1475555636 ▼q (electronic bk.)
020 ▼z 9781475505450
020 ▼z 9781475530711
0291 ▼a AU@ ▼b 000050082794
0291 ▼a CHNEW ▼b 000692350
0291 ▼a CHNEW ▼b 000692353
0291 ▼a DEBBG ▼b BV041387264
0291 ▼a DEBBG ▼b BV043960028
0291 ▼a DEBSZ ▼b 481269304
035 ▼a (OCoLC)803633711 ▼z (OCoLC)812997591 ▼z (OCoLC)823730105 ▼z (OCoLC)903698810
040 ▼a DJB ▼b eng ▼e pn ▼c DJB ▼d DOS ▼d CUS ▼d OCLCA ▼d EBLCP ▼d OCLCF ▼d OCLCO ▼d OCLCQ ▼d E7B ▼d OCLCA ▼d YDXCP ▼d OCLCQ ▼d N$T ▼d OCL ▼d OCLCQ ▼d CUS ▼d ICA ▼d AGLDB ▼d OCLCA ▼d MERUC ▼d 247004
043 ▼a f-sa---
050 4 ▼a HG3881.5.I58 ▼b W67 No. 12/196eb
050 4 ▼a HG187.5.S6 ▼b G86 2012eb online
072 7 ▼a BUS ▼x 069000 ▼2 bisacsh
08204 ▼a 330.968 ▼2 23
1001 ▼a Gumata, Nombulelo, ▼e author.
24512 ▼a A financial conditions index for South Africa/ ▼c prepared by Nombulelo Gumata, Nir Klein, and Eliphas Ndou.
260 ▼a [Washington, D.C.]: ▼b International Monetary Fund, ▼c ?012.
300 ▼a 1 online resource (20 pages): ▼b charts.
336 ▼a text ▼b txt ▼2 rdacontent
337 ▼a computer ▼b c ▼2 rdamedia
338 ▼a online resource ▼b cr ▼2 rdacarrier
4901 ▼a IMF working paper; ▼v WP/12/196
500 ▼a Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed Aug. 2, 2012).
500 ▼a "African Department."
500 ▼a "August 2012."
504 ▼a Includes bibliographical references (page 16).
520 ▼a "The main purpose of this paper is to construct a financial conditions index (FCI) for South Africa. The analysis extracts the index by applying two alternative approaches (principal component analysis and Kalman filter), which identify an unobservable common factor from a group of external and domestic financial indicators. The alternative estimated FCIs, which share a similar trajectory over time, seem to have a powerful predictive information for the near-term GDP growth (up to four quarters), and they outperform the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) leading indicator as well as individual financial variables. Their recent dynamics suggest that following a strong recovery in late-2009 and 2010, reflecting in part domestic factors such as systematic reductions in the policy rate, the rebound in real economic activity, and a benign inflationary environment, the financial conditions have deteriorated in recent months, though not as sharply as in end-2008. Given their relatively high predictive power regarding GDP growth, a further deterioration may imply that economic activity is likely to slow in the period ahead"--Page [1].
590 ▼a eBooks on EBSCOhost ▼b All EBSCO eBooks
650 0 ▼a Finance ▼z South Africa.
650 7 ▼a BUSINESS & ECONOMICS ▼x Economics ▼x General. ▼2 bisacsh
650 7 ▼a Finance. ▼2 fast ▼0 (OCoLC)fst00924349
651 7 ▼a South Africa. ▼2 fast ▼0 (OCoLC)fst01204616
655 4 ▼a Electronic books.
7001 ▼a Klein, Nir, ▼e author,
7001 ▼a Ndou, Eliphas, ▼e author,
7102 ▼a International Monetary Fund. ▼b African Department.
830 0 ▼a IMF working paper ; ▼v WP/12/196.
85640 ▼u http://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&AN=568119
938 ▼a EBL - Ebook Library ▼b EBLB ▼n EBL1606906
938 ▼a ebrary ▼b EBRY ▼n ebr10627031
938 ▼a EBSCOhost ▼b EBSC ▼n 568119
938 ▼a YBP Library Services ▼b YANK ▼n 9927189
938 ▼a YBP Library Services ▼b YANK ▼n 10691562
990 ▼a ***1012033
994 ▼a 92 ▼b KRDHU