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020 ▼a 9781088378700
035 ▼a (MiAaPQ)AAI22615574
040 ▼a MiAaPQ ▼c MiAaPQ ▼d 247004
0820 ▼a 363
1001 ▼a Chaffin, David.
24510 ▼a Climate Change and Future Forests of the Boundary Waters Canoe Area Wilderness: An assessment of Temperate Tree Abundance, Earthworm Invasion and Understory Regeneration Trends.
260 ▼a [S.l.]: ▼b University of Minnesota., ▼c 2019.
260 1 ▼a Ann Arbor: ▼b ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, ▼c 2019.
300 ▼a 112 p.
500 ▼a Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 81-04, Section: B.
500 ▼a Advisor: Frelich, Lee.
5021 ▼a Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Minnesota, 2019.
506 ▼a This item must not be sold to any third party vendors.
506 ▼a This item must not be added to any third party search indexes.
520 ▼a The forests of the Boundary Waters Canoe Area Wilderness (BWCAW) are dominated by boreal tree species at their southern range limit, making them particularly sensitive to climate change. Numerous studies have modeled potential climate change induced tree species range shifts across northern Minnesota and the BWCAW, projecting declines for boreal tree species and increases for northern temperate tree species currently at low abundances in the wilderness. The coarse resolution of these models, their lack of some biological interactions and the unprecedented velocity of projected future climate change could lead to over and/or under estimates of tree species range shifts at the scale of the BWCAW. To better understand potential forest successional shifts within this ecologically important wilderness we assessed 1) the abundance and spatial distribution of northern temperate tree species, 2) the stage, pattern, and extent of earthworm invasion in the wilderness, and 3) the impact of seasonal temperature, overstory composition, earthworm invasion and soil moisture potential on the understory relative density of ten boreal and northern temperate tree species. We found that red maple (Acer rubrum) is the most abundant temperate tree species in the BWCAW by orders of magnitude across all size classes, with its spatial distribution strongly correlated with an existing west to east summer temperature gradient. Conversely, our results raise questions about whether adequate seed sources of other temperate species are currently present in the wilderness to support a successful boreal to temperate transition. Earthworm invasion in the BWCAW is widespread, yet incomplete. Modeling results indicate the spatial pattern of earthworm invasion in the wilderness is driven by anglers dumping unused earthworm fishing bait at campsites. We predict that 33% of total land area in the BWCAW is currently invaded by earthworms. Lastly, our results indicate that summer temperature is a key driver of differences in understory relative density of boreal and northern temperate tree species across the mixed-boreal forests of the BWCAW, but that earthworm invasion and areas with increased soil moisture availability may support the short-term resistance of boreal tree species under future warmer and drier conditions.
590 ▼a School code: 0130.
650 4 ▼a Ecology.
650 4 ▼a Environmental studies.
650 4 ▼a Climate change.
690 ▼a 0329
690 ▼a 0477
690 ▼a 0404
71020 ▼a University of Minnesota. ▼b Natural Resources Science and Management.
7730 ▼t Dissertations Abstracts International ▼g 81-04B.
773 ▼t Dissertation Abstract International
790 ▼a 0130
791 ▼a Ph.D.
792 ▼a 2019
793 ▼a English
85640 ▼u http://www.riss.kr/pdu/ddodLink.do?id=T15493316 ▼n KERIS ▼z 이 자료의 원문은 한국교육학술정보원에서 제공합니다.
980 ▼a 202002 ▼f 2020
990 ▼a ***1008102
991 ▼a E-BOOK