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Commodity prices and exchange rate volatility : lessons from South Africa's capital account liberalization

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서명/저자사항Commodity prices and exchange rate volatility : lessons from South Africa's capital account liberalization/ prepared by Rabah Arezki [and others].
개인저자Arezki, Rabah,author,
단체저자명International Monetary Fund. Institute for Capacity Development.
발행사항[Washington, D.C.]: International Monetary Fund, ?012.
형태사항1 online resource (19 pages).
총서사항IMF working paper;WP/12/168
기타형태 저록Print version: Dumitrescu, Elena. Commodity Prices and Exchange Rate Volatility: Lessons from South Africa's Capital Account Liberalization. Washington : International Monetary Fund, ?012 9781475505160
ISBN9781475511024
1475511027
9781475563504
1475563507

일반주기 Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed Jun. 29, 2012).
"Institute for Capacity Development."
"June 2012."
서지주기Includes bibliographical references.
내용주기Cover; Abstract; Contents; I. Introduction; II. The Literature; III. Empirical Strategy; A. Data; B. Time Series Properties and Econometric Techniques; IV. Main Results; V. Robustness; VI. Conclusion; References; Figures; Figure 1. Evolution of Gold Prices and South Africa Rand Real Exchange Rate; Figure 2. Volatility of Gold Prices and South Africa Rand Real Exchange Rate; Tables; Table 1 Johansen Cointegration Test Results on Pre-Capital Account Liberalization; Table 2 Johansen Cointegration Test Results on Post-Capital Account Liberalization.
Table 3 Lagrange Multiplier Test for Residual AutocorelationTable 4 VECM Results for Pre-Capital Account Liberalization Sample; Table 5 Post-Capital Account Liberalization VECM Results; Table 6 Testing Weak Exogeneity.
요약We examine the relationship between South African Rand and gold price volatility using monthly data for the period 1980-2010. Our main findings is that prior to capital account liberalization the causality runs from South African Rand to gold price volatility but the causality runs the other way around for the post-liberalization period. These findings suggest that gold price volatility plays a key role in explaining both the excessive exchange rate volatility and current disproportionate share of speculative (short-run) inflows that South Africa has been coping with since the opening up of its capital account.
주제명(지명)South Africa. --fast
일반주제명Gold --Prices --South Africa.
Rand area --South Africa.
Foreign exchange rates --South Africa.
BUSINESS & ECONOMICS --Finance.
Foreign exchange rates.
Gold --Prices.
Rand area.
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