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The Optimization Bias in Inter-Temporal Decision-Making
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| 자료유형 | 학위논문 |
|---|---|
| 서명/저자사항 | The Optimization Bias in Inter-Temporal Decision-Making. |
| 개인저자 | Salomon-Amend, Meghan. |
| 단체저자명 | Northwestern University. Psychology. |
| 발행사항 | [S.l.]: Northwestern University., 2019. |
| 발행사항 | Ann Arbor: ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2019. |
| 형태사항 | 122 p. |
| 기본자료 저록 | Dissertations Abstracts International 81-04B. Dissertation Abstract International |
| ISBN | 9781088315804 |
| 학위논문주기 | Thesis (Ph.D.)--Northwestern University, 2019. |
| 일반주기 |
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 81-04, Section: B.
Includes supplementary digital materials. Advisor: Rapp, David N. |
| 이용제한사항 | This item must not be sold to any third party vendors. |
| 요약 | People evidence behaviors that engender hope for future behavior change, but also evidence this hope when there is no reason to believe that any behavior change will occur. For example, prior research suggests that temporal factors make people susceptible to change their minds over time, and a confluence of cognitive biases make people perceive unlikely outcomes as more likely than they actually are. I propose that these temporal and cognitive factors give way to an unaccounted bias present in inter-temporal decision-making, which I will refer to as the optimization bias. The optimization bias will be defined as the misguiding belief that future ability greatly surpasses current ability. The optimization bias is obtained in the measured disjunction between perceived improvement at activities over time and typical performance trajectories. Over 7 experiments, I found consistent decision-making errors in which people overestimated their perceived success at activities, when increased success is highly improbable. I investigate factors of luck and skill, time, practice, and agency. |
| 일반주제명 | Behavioral sciences. Cognitive psychology. Behavioral psychology. |
| 언어 | 영어 |
| 바로가기 | 
: 이 자료의 원문은 한국교육학술정보원에서 제공합니다. |
