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Predicting Perceived Risks, Costs, and Rewards of Crime: A Dynamic Panel Model Analysis
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| 자료유형 | 학위논문 |
|---|---|
| 서명/저자사항 | Predicting Perceived Risks, Costs, and Rewards of Crime: A Dynamic Panel Model Analysis. |
| 개인저자 | McKinney, Sydney. |
| 단체저자명 | New York University. Sociology. |
| 발행사항 | [S.l.]: New York University., 2019. |
| 발행사항 | Ann Arbor: ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2019. |
| 형태사항 | 189 p. |
| 기본자료 저록 | Dissertations Abstracts International 81-05B. Dissertation Abstract International |
| ISBN | 9781392599815 |
| 학위논문주기 | Thesis (Ph.D.)--New York University, 2019. |
| 일반주기 |
Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 81-05, Section: B.
Advisor: Greenberg, David. |
| 이용제한사항 | This item must not be sold to any third party vendors. |
| 요약 | What predicts our perceptions of the risks, costs, and rewards of crime is not well understood. In spite of the abundance of research on criminal deterrence and the role of perceptions, little is known about what factors predict individual assessments of the risks, costs, and rewards of crime. That said, what is known is narrowly focused on sanction risk perceptions and the effects of personal and vicarious offending. Theory, however, suggests that criminal decision-making is a complex process that is informed by a broad range of variables, the significance of which depends on where one is in the decision-making process and the type of crime under consideration.Given that, the aim of this research was to explore a broader range of possible predictors and to extend analyses to include perceptions of the costs and rewards of crime in addition to sanction risks. Using a large, longitudinal sample of youth adjudicated in juvenile court for serious juvenile offenses, this study examined the effects of personal and vicarious experiences of criminal offending and punishment experiences, motivations to succeed, peer influence and measure of rational choice on individual perceptions of the risks, costs, and rewards of crime. Dynamic panel models of wave-pairs and pooled models were analyzed to identify variables that were significantly correlated with the outcome variables and whether significant relationships were substantially similar over time. Results demonstrated that the effects of lagged values of perceived risks, costs, and rewards on current perceptions of the outcome variables were similar over time. In addition, peers' perceived risk of arrest also produced similar statistically significant effects on perceived risks of crime across the different wave-pair models, and was the only significant predictor of perceived risk in the pooled model. There was also evidence that self-reported offending influenced perceptions of the social costs and rewards of crime, indicating that perceptions of social costs decreased and perceived rewards increased as frequency of offending increased. Finally, there was limited evidence that socioeconomic status may condition the effects of certain predictor variables. In conclusion, the findings suggest a number of factors influence perceptions of the risks, costs, and rewards of crime, however, most variables effects were not substantially similar over time. That said, past perceptions have a consistent effect on future perceptions, suggesting that individuals in the sample updated perceptions of the risks, costs, and rewards of crime based on previous assessments. Future research should explore similar questions within a representative sample of youth and young adults to determine if the findings from this study are comparable when the sample includes individuals without histories of justice involvement. In addition, research should explore the formation and modification of perceptions of the risks, costs, and rewards of crime with greater depth than the current literature to date. |
| 일반주제명 | Criminology. Sociology. Social psychology. |
| 언어 | 영어 |
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