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Research Productivity and the Dynamic Allocation of NIH Grants

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자료유형학위논문
서명/저자사항Research Productivity and the Dynamic Allocation of NIH Grants.
개인저자Qiu, Yin Jia.
단체저자명Yale University. Economics.
발행사항[S.l.]: Yale University., 2019.
발행사항Ann Arbor: ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2019.
형태사항91 p.
기본자료 저록Dissertations Abstracts International 81-03A.
Dissertation Abstract International
ISBN9781088309377
학위논문주기Thesis (Ph.D.)--Yale University, 2019.
일반주기 Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 81-03, Section: A.
Advisor: Berry, Steven T.
이용제한사항This item must not be sold to any third party vendors.
요약This dissertation studies optimal funding allocation for Research and Development (R&D) on academic scientific research.Chapter 1 introduces institutional settings of academic scientific research and discusses previous progress in the literature of the economics of science.Chapter 2 introduces data from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and uses this data to analyze the impact of funding on research output. I construct a panel dataset at the principal investigator (PI) and year level and estimate a research production function. Extending the previous literature, I explicitly incorporate funding dynamics into research production functions. I show that funding has dynamic effects on research output through the learning-by-doing channel and that the unobserved total factor productivity (TFP) at the PI level is persistent.Chapter 3 develops an empirical framework to study how the NIH could allocate research funding in a dynamically optimal manner, especially in terms of balancing funds between young and veteran PIs. Using estimates from Chapter 2, I formulate the planner (the NIH)'s funding allocation problem as a dynamic programming problem in which the planner maximizes the discounted sum of research output subject to a budget constraint. Because the planner's dynamic programming problem suffers from the curse of dimensionality, I adopt approximate dynamic programming methods from the operations research literature to allow computation. I provide three main results. First, a forward-looking policy with a discount factor of 0.9 funds 30% more young PIs than a myopic policy does, which translates to 5% more research output per year in the long run. Second, the NIH appears to be accounting for some intertemporal tradeoffs, but may still be underfunding young PIs: the discount factor that rationalizes the NIH's funding behavior is about 0.75. Finally, a temporary funding cut, similar to the one proposed by the current administration, would have a long-lasting effect on overall research output through its adverse impact on investment in young PIs.
일반주제명Economics.
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