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Climate Change and Future Forests of the Boundary Waters Canoe Area Wilderness: An assessment of Temperate Tree Abundance, Earthworm Invasion and Understory Regeneration Trends

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서명/저자사항Climate Change and Future Forests of the Boundary Waters Canoe Area Wilderness: An assessment of Temperate Tree Abundance, Earthworm Invasion and Understory Regeneration Trends.
개인저자Chaffin, David.
단체저자명University of Minnesota. Natural Resources Science and Management.
발행사항[S.l.]: University of Minnesota., 2019.
발행사항Ann Arbor: ProQuest Dissertations & Theses, 2019.
형태사항112 p.
기본자료 저록Dissertations Abstracts International 81-04B.
Dissertation Abstract International
ISBN9781088378700
학위논문주기Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Minnesota, 2019.
일반주기 Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 81-04, Section: B.
Advisor: Frelich, Lee.
이용제한사항This item must not be sold to any third party vendors.This item must not be added to any third party search indexes.
요약The forests of the Boundary Waters Canoe Area Wilderness (BWCAW) are dominated by boreal tree species at their southern range limit, making them particularly sensitive to climate change. Numerous studies have modeled potential climate change induced tree species range shifts across northern Minnesota and the BWCAW, projecting declines for boreal tree species and increases for northern temperate tree species currently at low abundances in the wilderness. The coarse resolution of these models, their lack of some biological interactions and the unprecedented velocity of projected future climate change could lead to over and/or under estimates of tree species range shifts at the scale of the BWCAW. To better understand potential forest successional shifts within this ecologically important wilderness we assessed 1) the abundance and spatial distribution of northern temperate tree species, 2) the stage, pattern, and extent of earthworm invasion in the wilderness, and 3) the impact of seasonal temperature, overstory composition, earthworm invasion and soil moisture potential on the understory relative density of ten boreal and northern temperate tree species. We found that red maple (Acer rubrum) is the most abundant temperate tree species in the BWCAW by orders of magnitude across all size classes, with its spatial distribution strongly correlated with an existing west to east summer temperature gradient. Conversely, our results raise questions about whether adequate seed sources of other temperate species are currently present in the wilderness to support a successful boreal to temperate transition. Earthworm invasion in the BWCAW is widespread, yet incomplete. Modeling results indicate the spatial pattern of earthworm invasion in the wilderness is driven by anglers dumping unused earthworm fishing bait at campsites. We predict that 33% of total land area in the BWCAW is currently invaded by earthworms. Lastly, our results indicate that summer temperature is a key driver of differences in understory relative density of boreal and northern temperate tree species across the mixed-boreal forests of the BWCAW, but that earthworm invasion and areas with increased soil moisture availability may support the short-term resistance of boreal tree species under future warmer and drier conditions.
일반주제명Ecology.
Environmental studies.
Climate change.
언어영어
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